How Should a White Female Evaluate Potential Rape Threats?

Reginald Thompson: If a White female encounters a White man and a Black man in the same day, the Black male is at least 9 Times More Likely to Rape her.

Obviously, if a woman is wary of being raped she’ll assess a Man in his twenties as a greater potential threat than an old man or a little boy. Also, it is thought by many women that certain traits in the appearance of a Man, such as a scuzzy hairstyle and clothing, tends to correlate with an increased likelihood of him being a rapist. But what about the most obvious and unmistakable of appearance traits, whether a man is White or Black? Would it make sense for White females to assess the threat of rape as being significantly greater from the average Black male she encounters?

The answer from the Statistical Data is a very clear yes.

Looking at the 2005 FBI Uniform Crime Report we find that though Blacks are only 12.4% of the US Population, they commit 33.6% of the rapes of White females.

This means that even if we assume totally random racial assortment, where a White female is just as likely to encounter the average Black male as she is to encounter the average White male, we would still have to conclude that a Black male is 2.7 times more likely to rape a White female than the average male she encounters.

But here’s the thing: There’s clearly not random racial assortment in America, so the increased rape risk to a White female for every Black male she encounters is even greater than that.

Probably the closest thing we can find to a meaningful estimate of what percentage of the Males encountered by a White female are Black is to look at how Black a neighborhood the average White lives in.

I found some data taken from the 2000 Census saying the average White lives in a neighborhood that is 6.7% Black.

There are two problems with using this as the baseline for the Percentage of Rapes of White females committed by Blacks though:

1. It is only data for Metropolitan Counties, and leaves out Rural Counties that have fewer Blacks.

2. It fails to take into account the effects of intra-neighborhood racial assortment resulting from implicit Whiteness.  For example, it could be there’s a neighborhood that’s 50% White and 50% Black, but where the Whites primarily go to the restaurant that serves food White people like, while the Blacks go to the restaurant that serves food Black people like. This sort of thing will create a situation where even in a 50% Black neighborhood, the White females living there will have much less than 50% of the males they encounter be Black.

So bear very closely in mind that using 6.7% as the proportion of Black people met by White females is likely a strong overestimation, and therefore that the figures below underestimate the degree of increased rape risk a White female incurs when she encounters a Black male.

White Males   Black Males

Percent of Encounters          80.2%             6.7%

Percent of Rapes                   44.5%              33.6%

Impact Value                          .55                    5.01

This means that while the average Black male encountered by a White female is 5.01 Times more likely to rape her than the average male, the average White male she encounters is almost half as likely to rape her as the average male. It also implies that if a White female encounters a White and Black male, the Black is 9.1 times more likely to rape her than the White.

It is all too clear from this data that Black rapists are deliberately targeting White females.  This could be because of racial hatred for Whites, and possibly also because they perceive White females as being more sexually desirable than women of their own race.

Strong evidence in favor of the racial animus explanation playing a crucial role here can be found in the fact that when a Black man marries a White woman, he is 82% more likely to Murder her than if he was married to a Black women.

In conclusion, White women have every right to be “paranoid” about Black men. It’s the White women who aren’t afraid of Black men that have something wrong with them.

Reginald Thompson is the Pen Name of an Advisor to an International Software Company. He lives on the American East Coast and is proprietor/manager of a recently created Blog called Statsaholic.

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9 Comments to "How Should a White Female Evaluate Potential Rape Threats?"

  1. Barbara Cornett's Gravatar Barbara Cornett
    January 8, 2010 - 1:28 pm | Permalink

    I wonder what the stats are regarding criminal thugs in professional sports. We are constantly dealing with black thugs in our State University, football and basketball and in professional teams as well. Black players just got kicked off the team for drugs and guns.

  2. Adam's Gravatar Adam
    January 8, 2010 - 4:02 pm | Permalink

    Some time ago I researched the question of how many women who were victims of rape and became pregnant as a result of it elected to keep the baby. Reliable data on this is difficult to come by because the issue is highly politicized, but from what I could gather, a truly appalling percentage of them — around 80% or so — opted to have the child.

    Seen in this light, the more than 100 white women raped EACH DAY in America by black males (vs. the statistical zero of black women raped by white men each day) is a kind of low-grade genetic war, a slow-motion ethnic cleansing.

  3. Adam's Gravatar Adam
    January 8, 2010 - 4:19 pm | Permalink

    From the article:

    Probably the closest thing we can find to a meaningful estimate of what percentage of the Males encountered by a White female are Black is to look at how Black a neighborhood the average White lives in.

    Not likely to be valid. A lot of interracial rapes happen when black rapists venture into white neighborhoods deliberately to search for a victim. Eldridge Cleaver, a 60s activist, convicted rapist, and former Black Panther (later turned Republican celebrity) said it best in his confessional book Soul on Ice:

    “I started out practicing on black girls in the ghetto where dark and vicious deeds appear not as aberrations or deviations from the norm, but as part of the sufficiency of the Evil of a day. When I considered myself smooth enough, I crossed the tracks and sought out white prey. I did this consciously, deliberately, willfully, methodically.”

    “Rape was an insurrectional act. It delighted me that I was defying and trampling upon the white man’s law, upon his system of values, and that I was defiling his women . . . I felt that I was getting revenge.”

    The rape of Anne Pressly was an instance of this, as were the Wichita rape/murders.

  4. Gary Walsh's Gravatar Gary Walsh
    January 8, 2010 - 5:58 pm | Permalink

    This is a very good post. I think that there should be more articles about racial differences and disparities on this site because this kind of information is very effective at raising white racial consciousness. After all, if these statistics don’t resonate with white people then nothing will.

  5. January 8, 2010 - 8:58 pm | Permalink

    “Not likely to be valid. A lot of interracial rapes happen when black rapists venture into white neighborhoods deliberately to search for a victim.”

    Adam,

    Even if on the average day there are 100,000 Black Interlopers in White Neighborhoods looking for rape victims, it would still only increase the Percentage of Residents in White Neighborhoods that are Black from 6.7% to about 7.2%.

    So the point of the article still stands.

    Also, thank you for the Eldridge Cleaver quote. It shows the utter barbarity of the Black community that one of their best known Leaders could openly brag about committing the horrific crime of Race Hatred Motivated Rape.

    If what that favorite of the Cocktail Party Circuit admitted to weren’t hate crimes, then nothing is a hate crime.

  6. January 8, 2010 - 9:02 pm | Permalink

    Barbara,

    Your perception appears to be correct, as I found some data showing that a Black NFL Player is 4.51 Times More Likely to have been Arrested since 2000 than a White NFL Player is.

    http://www.usatoday.com/sports/football/2008-08-27-1555250552_x.htm

    http://legacy.signonsandiego.com/sports/nfl/20070422-9999-lz1s22arrest.html

    Still, this Black/White gap is less than half as large as the Black/White gap in the propensity to Rape White Females.

    This is one of the things that suggests to me that a special kind of racial hatred is driving up the Black on White Rape Rate, and that it isn’t just the result of Blacks having greater overall rates of criminality and psychopathology.

  7. January 8, 2010 - 9:33 pm | Permalink

    Black-on-white rape is the thin edge of the race-crime wedge. Bye-bye, socioeconomic excuses.

  8. Adam's Gravatar Adam
    January 9, 2010 - 12:26 am | Permalink

    Reginald says:

    Even if on the average day there are 100,000 Black Interlopers in White Neighborhoods looking for rape victims, it would still only increase the Percentage of Residents in White Neighborhoods that are Black from 6.7% to about 7.2%.

    So the point of the article still stands.

    I wasn’t saying your logic was wrong. If anything, black rapists “crossing the tracks” in search of white victims would tend to more severely skew your numbers in the direction you indicate when you say “the figures below underestimate the degree of increased rape risk a White female incurs when she encounters a Black male.” If a white woman (or anybody) sees a black loitering in a white neighborhood, it is HIGHLY (i.e., much more than 9.1 times) likely that he has bad intent. In Anne Pressly’s case, that was exactly what happened. If memory serves, it later came out that the police actually caught the perpetrator loitering in her neighborhood a few days before she was raped and murdered — but of course, let him go, because “weez all beez equalz heer”, an’ shit, and the police did not wish to appear to be racist. Of course, by the time he came back and clubbed her almost to death with a 2×4, detaching her jaw and bludgeoning her beyond recognition, and then raping her, it was by then 100% likely that he was up to no good. She later died of her head injuries in the hospital. So ended the life of a once-beautiful white girl.

    http://whidbeynewspost.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/anne-pressly-4.jpg

    The point of all this societal engineering is to intimidate white women and get them to submit to the advances of black males, either by making them terrified of being called a racist for rejecting them, or simply out of fear of being killed. It’s noteworthy that DNA evidence established that Pressly’s rapist also raped, but did not otherwise harm, an Arkansas school teacher a few weeks before — presumably because she submitted without resisting. Pressly got killed because she fought back.

  9. January 29, 2010 - 11:30 am | Permalink

    Hello! Great topic, but will this really work?

Comments are closed.