Trump up 2 points in battleground states, but Harris up 500 points on late mail-in ballots

Like a good social justice protest, the Harris campaign is crashing and burning. Whether it’s teleprompter Kamala or earpiece Kamala, her media blitz has only resulted in voter favorability sinking toward her earlier VP approval ratings. Not only is she struggling with the under-30 vote, she’s losing Black men faster than a father’s day picnic. Even Saturday Night Live has lowered the curtain on her flailing campaign. All that’s left now is to announce a Victory Plan™ in the style of Volodymyr Zelensky.

Though Harris and Zelensky haven’t always seen eye to eye (she wears heels), they have more in common than they would like to admit. Both are the spoiled children of political convenience — thriving on delusions of importance and competence. They have come to occupy high office without proper democratic mandates and are backed by big money interests. Even their political godfathers, Soros and Kolomoisky, share similar backgrounds. The fate of both of their political careers now comes down to the November election, and the only ray of hope is ironically embodied by the freshly lacerated cadaver of Joe Biden. After all, it was his Lazarus victory in 2020 that forever changed the rules, demonstrating that an incoherent, unpopular, media-avoiding bunker campaign could nevertheless wake up with 81 million votes. Harris barely survived her candidacy’s honeymoon, but all may not be lost.

Realclearpolling currently gives Trump a 1 to 2 point edge in swing states Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Nevada and Arizona. Assuming current trends, it’s going to take some moonlight action with mail-in ballots from the Harris campaign to flip results late in the vote count. The legal reform to massively liberalize postal voting was the great coup of 2020 and the same logistical infrastructure is still in place, be it on the ground or embedded in the US Postal Service. But don’t call them vote riggers – their preferred pronoun is ballot harvesters.

As Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton charges, all of the battleground states that flipped for Biden in 2020 ignored federal election laws and unlawfully enacted last-minute changes that meant photo ID was not required — using the covid-19 pandemic as a pretext. With just signature verification enforced, the result was immediately palpable. Texas and Georgia used to vote the same way, but due to the difference in local law Trump managed to lose Georgia while winning Texas by 6 points. Since proving fraud on the basis of signatures is practically impossible, Paxton suggests that it was a scheme so well organized and executed that Soros was likely behind it.

Republican ears are certainly amenable to a good conspiracy theory, but you can hardly blame them when the voter turnout clocks in at 66.6%. Though it wasn’t mentioned much, Biden’s election triumph broke a 120-year record for turnout and was an increase of 6.5 percentage points from 2016. Logic tells us that the covid pandemic should have actually decreased turnout in 2020, not increase it. As if economic inflation wasn’t enough, now there is also voter turnout inflation. Add to this the fact that all of the bellwether counties somehow got the result wrong and the cloud of smoking guns starts to get bigger. Even marquee bellwether state Ohio was blindsided, ending a sixty year record.

Quantitative metrics aside, a look at the qualitative distribution of votes suggests that the electoral system has reached the twilight zone — figuratively and literally. By some unexplained mechanism of demographics, two-thirds of postal and absentee ballots went to the Democrats in 2020. The official explanation for this is that Trump’s critique of postal voting led to extreme partisanship in method of voting, though this seems wholly inadequate. Republican voters tend to be older and more rural, so it should follow that Republicans do better in the postal and absentee category. Biden voters were so overrepresented for mail-in ballots in 2020 that they even exceeded their comrades voting in person (58% to 42% according to Pew Research). Forget chasing the White working class or Latinos – the new number one constituency for the Democratic Party is absentee and postal voters! On the other hand, a Rasmussen survey found that only 36% of Biden voters reported casting a mail-in ballot. Draw your own conclusions regarding the 22-point discrepancy.

If we go further and isolate early postal votes from late ones, the distortion gets even more grotesque. Official data do not provide this, but anecdotal evidence indicates that the lopsidedness was off the charts. With 92% of the vote counted in Wisconsin, Trump led by 8 points, but would lose because of a late vote dump of incredibly uniform ballots. Similar reversals were seen in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia and Arizona. A Dominion employee gave an affidavit stating that an arrival of 100,000 votes at 4 am in Michigan went 100% for Biden — the claim being corroborated by independent contractors. When the world’s greatest technologist Elon Musk argues for a return to simple paper ballots and photo ID like virtually every other country, it’s with good reason.

Musk, who voted for Biden in 2020, is now a surrogate for Trump following his claim that a Harris administration would throw him in prison and destroy Twitter (X). It’s a very reasonable worry. The saga of 2020 is still playing out for Trump’s other allies; earlier this week a New York judge threw out the bankruptcy case of Rudy Giuliani, who lost his attorney’s licence and was ordered to pay $148 million to two Black election officials in Georgia whom he allegedly defamed in his post-election crusade to expose fraud. If this is how the former mayor of New York during 9-11 is treated because of his affiliation with Trump, one can only imagine the ongoing lawfare against protesters from the much eulogized January 6 pogrom.

The best bellwether for this election’s sentiment might be the recent poll that shows 79% of Americans believe the country is on the wrong track. The tragedy is that Americans are hopelessly polarized on the causes and solution to the crisis. Illegal immigration has been essentially decriminalized and political assassination has been virtually normalized. Record low trust in elections and media is bipartisan. An astounding 42% of independents and even 7% of Democrats say that Biden didn’t win the election fairly. Evidently not all have forgotten the primary rigging against Bernie Sanders that sullied the Democrats in 2016. Nowadays, the Democratic Party Politburo is so efficient that it foregoes primaries altogether and installs candidates at will. Out with Methuselah — in with Jezebel, and the base barely bats an eyelid.

The Republican Party, thankfully, is richer for one Tulsi Gabbard, but the female vote could still cost Trump the election. Trump knows it and has resorted to courting women through such token initiatives as women-only town hall events.

The irony for Trump supporters in 2024 is that they have to believe that Trump was good enough to beat Biden last time but was thwarted by electoral fraud – while also believing that fraud won’t happen this time. Or that Trump wins by such large margins as to be safe, because they know that relying on the judiciary, media, or Republicans like Mitch McConnell and Mike Pence to fight for the truth is not going to happen. The litmus test of 2020 made it clear that there are simply too many people with sinecures unwilling to risk constitutional chaos and civil unrest.

The public largely join them in wishing to preserve the myth of American democracy, or at least reckoning that it’s better to let some things slide. Implicitly, American democracy has become too big to fail. For all of the extra eyeballs that will be honed in on electoral proceedings this year – the hindsight will indeed be 2020, but to what avail? The Democrats always seem to be one step ahead as great innovators within the electoral industrial complex. This election more than any other has epitomized the clash of the ballot and the bullet, with much of the country quite indifferent to the latter’s appearance. America has crossed the Rubicon, but whether you think the river runs red or blue ultimately depends on your perspective.

12 replies
    • Tim Folke
      Tim Folke says:

      Yup. The best place to hide something is in plain sight.

      More suggestions later, if you and other thinkers are ready to roll.

      The Enemy says that if we speak freely, we will be eliminated.

      My answer is this: “So, what’s your point?”

  1. Earl
    Earl says:

    The office of the presidency hasn’t meant much since JFK was assassinated. Whatever mainstream candidate that does get elected will inevitably be a puppet of the Jews. It’s best to not get too distracted by this election circus and focus on more meaningful action against the Enemy. This includes, among other things, educating others on recognizing the malign influence of the Jews and encouraging them to reject whatever they promote.

  2. Not Kamala
    Not Kamala says:

    Supposedly more Blacks and Hispanics are voting for Trump and the GOP than previously.

    Hopefully this is true for down-ballot races too.

    However, I believe that the way Blacks and Hispanics generally vote (for Dems, Blacks, Hispanics, and pro-crime DAs) are ruining this country.

    I wish they wouldn’t vote.

    Sorry but that’s how I feel.

    And the voting age should be much higher. Young people generally vote for lousy candidates.

    Gen Z adults are 30% LGBTQ:

    https://www.nbcnews.com/nbc-out/out-news/nearly-30-gen-z-adults-identify-lgbtq-national-survey-finds-rcna135510

    They should be called Gen S (for Sick).

    Sorry.

    • Tim Folke
      Tim Folke says:

      No reason to be sorry when you have the courage to be truthful.

      BTW, I have relatives in Finland, and in Finnish the word ‘Kamala’ means ‘horrible’.

  3. Tom Carberry
    Tom Carberry says:

    Made me laugh. This article came out before the Washington Post declined to endorse Kamala. Robert Kagan, the husband of the great peace maker Victoria Nuland, resigned in protest. Some funny tweets followed. One said the Post picked Hitler over Kamala. General outrage on the left. Time to buy stock in antidepressants because if Trump wins pharmacies will have trouble keeping them in stock.

  4. Shitting Bull
    Shitting Bull says:

    “If Ms Harris wins the election, she could have the gays to thank.” – The Economist [London], October 26, 2024.

  5. Bobby
    Bobby says:

    Nice essay Tom, thanks.

    Trump’s going to win, just like he did the last time, no doubt about it. The real question is of course, what are they going to do this time around to stop him?

    What can they do? I don’t know. No matter what they do, it will just seem much too suspicious being so close to the election. Do they even care? Probably not.

    The 79% of the population believing the country is moving in the wrong direction is a very positive development for us. People are listening now, especially with what’s going on with the continued genocide in Palestine, that we here in the states pay for. All of the alt-right websites such as TOO, Unz, Counter-Currents, and the rest have experienced phenomenal growth over these past few years.

    The U.S. government is now printing one trillion dollars every 90 days and the Jews here and in Israel and Ukraine get a nice chunk of it.

    False flag attack maybe. That’s what I’m thinking. We’ll just have to wait, and see.

    And pray.

    • Birhan Dargey
      Birhan Dargey says:

      Trump won in 2020 (2000 Mules)..BUT even when Turmp wins again in 2024..the Jewish Cartels will never let him take/execute power..Fderal USA Rep Rafkins has publiccly announce that DEMs will challenge/delay/paralyze/ (kill ) Trumps inauguration. The DEms will wage a prolongue long term Civil War of attrition against the POPULAR democratic will, againstbteh Constitution. The DEMs and their deep state powers will react to Trumps victory like a wounded bleeding leviatham/monster. Even with Trump in power the working poor will never win.

  6. Amadeus Mossad
    Amadeus Mossad says:

    The 2020 election is estimated to have cost $14 billion, making it the most expensive election in history and twice as expensive as the previous presidential election cycle. I wonder whether the postal vote goes way back down to pre-covid levels like it should.

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