Trump and Netanyahu Are Hurtling Toward a Rupture That Could Shock U.S.-Israel Ties
“The U.S.-Iran deal with which Israeli officials could not be more displeased.” It looks like Trump is finally waking up to the reality that continuing the war is political suicide for him and that he has to jettison Israel. But it is not a final deal, and the Lobby is certainly not going to just throw in the towel. Exciting times…
Haaretz: Trump and Netanyahu Are Hurtling Toward a Rupture That Could Shock U.S.-Israel Ties
Netanyahu thought he could read Trump better than anyone. But as Washington moves toward an Iran deal, Israel may be discovering the costs of that gamble
After the past week, punctuated by Trump’s public diatribes against Netanyahu and the U.S.-Iran deal with which Israeli officials could not be more displeased, it is abundantly clear that both world leaders are rapidly heading toward a rupture that will have dramatic implications – both within their respective countries and on the world stage.
Further, it is not an all-encompassing deal, but a 60-day cease-fire extension to negotiate the stickier issues that are more intractable than the easier-agreed-upon fact that the status quo was untenable for everyone involved.
Trump’s pronouncements, meanwhile, leave several pressing issues unclarified. How can Trump authorize the “toll-free opening” of the Strait of Hormuz when Iran is the one that had been imposing a toll system? Further, so much of Trump administration rhetoric surrounding the deal was contingent on verifying Iran’s abiding by the deal’s terms. Does the immediate lifting of the blockade mean otherwise?
It further showcases how much the war was a failure by any measure, considering that the deal’s primary result — the reopening of the strait — only presented itself as an issue following the war.
It also kicks the can down the road concerning Iran’s nuclear program. Any disavowal of obtaining a nuclear weapon was also present in the 2015 Obama nuclear deal, and the current agreement doesn’t clarify the scope of sanctions relief or the retrieval and disposal of Iran’s highly enriched uranium.
Other issues are surely front of mind for Netanyahu – primarily concerning Lebanon. The acute deterioration in the Trump-Netanyahu relationship began with Israel’s strikes in Beirut last weekend, which fundamentally shifted the deterrence/escalation calculus in this conflict. Iran’s response to Israel’s strikes, only for Trump to effectively handcuff Israel, sent an undeniable message to all parties involved concerning America’s appetite for renewed escalation.
Despite shared attempts by mutual allies to downplay Trump’s profanity-laden castigations of Netanyahu in the ensuing days, Netanyahu’s clear opposition to the looming deal and insistence that Israel continue to be allowed freedom to operate in Lebanon against Hezbollah eventually served as more of a wedge than a unifier between the two leaders. This in itself is a remarkable development that should not be taken for granted amid all the histrionics surrounding the deal.
Trump, believing he was hours away from closing the deal, was greeted on Sunday by yet another Israeli strike in Beirut. Despite Israel’s attempts to frame them as retaliatory, Trump’s frustration was even more evident this time around.
Talk among Trump’s hawkish base reflected how this frustration drove a wedge between him and Netanyahu – both concerning Lebanon and the greater prospects of Iran diplomacy.
“What would we do if Hezbollah killed hundreds and hundreds of our military personnel and civilians? They have over the years and we’ve done next to nothing about it. Israel alone has militarily fought Hezbollah. Now, they’re expected to stand down,” lamented Fox News host Mark Levin.
Sen. Lindsey Graham, the leading Iran hawk in Congress who held Trump’s ear for months, indicated Republicans will force Trump to bring the deal under congressional scrutiny. This is a selective citation of U.S. law, considering the Republican Party did not feel the need to push Trump to get congressional approval for the war in the first place.
“I am somewhat concerned that Iran’s view of the agreement seems different than what the American negotiating team is claiming,” Graham said. “Under our law, any nuclear deal with Iran will be sent to Congress for review and a vote. I look forward to reviewing the final product and I believe it is imperative that the architect of the deal, Vice President Vance and his negotiating partners, be part of the process in presenting the final deal to Congress.”
Trump’s frustration, meanwhile, was undoubtedly shared by other key administration figures – most notably Vice President JD Vance, who himself openly critiqued Netanyahu and made clear that Israel and the United States held diverging interests regarding this conflict.
Netanyahu spent months banking on the fact that he knew how to read Trump better than anyone. Recent days have only demonstrated the extent to which Netanyahu achieved the opposite of what he intended, mortgaging the U.S.-Israel relationship in the process.
Trump’s base will only be further divided between hawks taking Netanyahu’s side and the growing number of Republicans discontent with Israel embroiling Trump in its conflicts. Netanyahu, meanwhile, will either be portrayed as totally subservient or he will be forced to disobey Trump and further isolate Israel.
There are now six days until the deal’s formal signing in Geneva, Switzerland, on Friday. This gives Israel plenty of time to further find itself on Trump’s bad side.
If Netanyahu opts to go at it alone despite Trump’s explicit wishes, Israel and the U.S. may find themselves at a point where Trump determines that rhetorical pressure must give way to further punitive action. It goes without saying that this would shake the very foundations of the bilateral relationship and Israel’s long-term political standing in the U.S.





Remphan is a curse like no other.
Trump is heavily pressed on the coming Depression, world wide, and its impact on the US. It is conceivable that he gets it, but I doubt it. Trumpthuggery for The Jews is almost absolute. Winning is absolute for him. So.
If Israel goes down, so does Trump. Thank gawd for The Jews and Trumpstein…the End of both, and the whole shitload of craven Congressional sycophants to The Jews. Maybe. Too much to hope for, but it could happen. The realignment of US politics is also possible. Think Macgregor for ’28.