Charlie Downes of Rupert Lowe’s Restore party has been doing some good work, as is proved by the fact that he’s been called anti-semitic. He’s 100% right here.
Remember that when Enoch Powell gave his Birmingham Speech in 1968, 74% of the British public agreed with what he had said.
93% said they wanted a drastic reduction in further immigration, while 64% – rising to 74% that November – were in favour of voluntary repatriation.
Trump is turning the Republican Party into a dumping ground for Americans at their worst. He has nurtured racial hostility, blessed those who voice their disdain of minorities and immigrants and sought, in every way he could, to remake the U.S. government into an instrument of prejudice.
Mr. Edsall contributes a weekly essay from Washington on politics, demographics and inequality.
President Trump’s corruption is unequaled by any previous resident of the White House. If anything, his narcissism ranks higher than his corruption. Just look at the Kennedy Center or the East Wing of the White House or Trump’s proposed triumphal arch.
Today, though, I want to look at another destructive aspect of Trump’s ascendancy: what he has done to the nation’s ability to deal with an issue that has plagued the United States since its founding and even before — race.
Trump has not only halted the agonizingly slow accommodation of conservative whites to a multiracial nation, he has also legitimated and exacerbated the most toxic attitudes toward race and immigration held by Republican voters.
In the process, he has turned the party of Abraham Lincoln — founded in 1854 to oppose the expansion of slavery westward — into the home of those high in racial resentment, xenophobia and hostility to marginalized ethnic and religious minorities.
This reactionary process did not start with Trump, but he has made it the centerpiece of both his first and second terms.
At the same time, a growing number of studies are showing that Democrats and liberals have responded to Trump’s dominant role in American politics by becoming noticeably less prejudiced and more open to diversity and growing minority populations.
In “Did Donald Trump’s Presidency Reshape Americans’ Prejudices?” Benjamin C. Ruisch and Melissa J. Ferguson, psychology professors, respectively, at the University of Kent and Yale, reported results of a survey of 1,000 American participants before Trump’s 2016 election followed by a poll of the same participants after the election:
People in Donald Trump’s political base, on average, became increasingly willing to declare their disdain toward minoritized ethnic, religious and cultural groups, both foreign groups and their fellow Americans. Following Trump’s election and during his presidency, Trump supporters on average increased in their expressed prejudice toward Muslims, immigrants and African Americans.
The opposite took place among non-Trump voters:
Progressives, and even conservatives and Republicans who did not support Trump, remained stable in — and in some cases decreased — their expressions of prejudice over this same time period. Critically, we replicated this pattern of results with over 7,700 Americans from a nationally representative sample.
The surveys did not answer the crucial question of “whether people’s authentic views had changed, or just their willingness to express those views.”
Further research, however, suggested “that these attitude shifts went beyond straightforward explicit expressions of prejudice,” revealing “an increase in ‘implicit bias’ (i.e., attitudes assessed indirectly, which are largely spontaneous and hard to control) toward Black people that corresponded precisely to Trump’s early candidacy.”
Ashley Jardina, a professor of leadership and public policy at the University of Virginia, and Trent Ollerenshaw, now a political scientist at Penn State, described a similar pattern in their 2025 paper “White Racial Polarization Before and After the Election of Donald Trump”: “Unlike his predecessors from the period of time after the modern -civil rights era, Trump’s campaign rhetoric was littered with overtly xenophobic and racist statements — a strategy that politicians had long thought was likely to backfire on a national stage in an era in the era after the civil rights movement in which norms of racial equality were thought to be well established.”
The authors explain how
Trump not only successfully attracted support from many racially hostile white Americans, but how he also, with the support of the Republican Party, catalyzed an unprecedented transformation of white partisans’ views on matters of race and immigration over the course of his presidency.
By 2016, they wrote in an earlier draft,
the changing demographics of the country, the election of the nation’s first Black president, the increased national salience of issues of race and immigration, the significant homogeneity of the Republican Party, and national party leaders’ efforts to avoid confronting or pandering to racial hostility stoked the fires of white grievance and created a representation vacuum for racially conservative whites.
The authors cited two studies, one of which Jardina was part of, that “found that Trump in particular had an outstanding effect on white racial hostility, increasing it among some whites.”
Whites high on the measure of racial resentment provided a clear target for the Trump campaign, but, Jardina and Ollerenshaw pointed out:
Racial resentment only encompasses one element of white grievance politics in the Trump era. One limitation is that the measure is focused on whites’ views about Black Americans, but in today’s more racially and ethnically diverse country, whites’ out-group hostility is likely directed at a broader range of groups. Indeed, a growing number of studies have shown that a wide range of out-group hostilities, including such hostility directed at Muslims and immigrants, were also strongly linked to support for Trump.
More important, research conducted by Jardina revealed another characteristic found in roughly one third of white voters, the possession of conscious “inward feelings of racial identity, consciousness and solidarity.”
Jardina added:
This sense of white racial consciousness is distinct from out-group prejudice: Many white Americans possess a strong sense of racial consciousness without comparatively strong levels of out-group prejudice.
But white racial solidarity is similarly pernicious because it motivates whites to protect the disproportionate power, status and resources of their racial group. In a deeply racially inegalitarian society, such attitudes serve to reinforce the country’s enduring racial hierarchy, even while being psychologically distinct from racial prejudice.
Trump, Jardina wrote in an email, “was both a symptom and a cause. He attracted white voters who were already hostile to Black Americans and hostile to these groups.”
We found that the causal arrow also ran the other way. Among whites who already backed Trump in January 2016, strong opposition to Black Lives Matter grew by about 16 percentage points by August. Those who backed Trump early also became more supportive of building a border wall.
Trump clearly relished raising the heat under this racial cauldron.
I am reluctant to pour cold water on the thesis of my own column, but some caution should be exercised when examining analyses that use racial resentment as a measure or indicator of racist views.
The racial resentment measure is based on agreement or disagreement responses with four core statements, often rendered this way:
Irish, Italians, Jewish and many other minorities overcame prejudice and worked their way up. Blacks should do the same without any special favors.
Generations of slavery and discrimination have created conditions that make it difficult for Blacks to work their way out of the lower class.
It’s really a matter of some people not trying hard enough; if Blacks would try harder, they could be just as well off as whites.
Over the past few years, Blacks have gotten less than they deserve.
A respondent who agrees with the first and third statement and disagrees with the second and fourth is deemed high in racial resentment.
The problem, as critics have pointed out, is that a principled conservative with no or little prejudice might well agree with statements one and three and be classified as high in racial resentment.
As I wrote in a column in 2018, “Riley Carney and Ryan Enos, political scientists at Harvard, have sought to assess the validity of racial resentment questions in their working paper, “Conservatism and Fairness in Contemporary Politics: Unpacking the Psychological Underpinnings of Modern Racism. “In survey experiments, Carney and Enos substituted Lithuanians and other nationalities for African Americans so that the first resentment question would ask for agreement or disagreement with the statement: “Lithuanians should work their way up without any special favors.” Their conclusion: “The results obtained using groups other than blacks are substantively indistinguishable from those measured when blacks are the target group.”
Many of those who study race and politics now agree that racial resentment is a flawed measure, but as far as I can determine, it remains in wide use by scholars who believe it has significant validity, even if it’s imperfect.
A separate analysis that does not depend on the racial resentment scale, a study published in 2020 “The Acceptance and Expression of Prejudice During the Trump Era,” by Brian F. Schaffner, a political scientist at Tufts, showed, through a series of experiments during and after the 2016 campaign,
that being exposed to Donald Trump’s prejudiced rhetoric causes people to express more prejudice themselves. Notably, this is not merely a “Trump effect”; People’s commitment to anti-prejudice norms is undermined even when exposed to prejudiced rhetoric attributed to unnamed politicians.
These findings are consequential; If politicians increasingly feel at liberty to express explicit prejudice, then the mass public is likely to take cues from such behavior, leading them to express more prejudice themselves.
Anspach conducted a survey in which subjects were “exposed to one of three tweets made by Trump: a control tweet about the economy, a tweet with an implicitly racist message, or a tweet with an explicitly racist message.”
The result?
Both implicitly and explicitly racist messages interact with racial resentment to increase the propensity to describe African Americans in starkly stereotypical and negative language.
After the 2016 election, at least two studies found that voters’ racial attitudes were more important in predicting their vote than their views of economics. In other words, James Carville’s 1992 “it’s the economy, stupid,” became “it’s race, stupid,” in 2016.
In their 2018 article, “United States: Racial Resentment, Negative Partisanship and Polarization in Trump’s America,” Alan Abramowitz and Jennifer McCoy, political scientists at Emory and Georgia State, respectively, tested “the hypothesis that Trump’s surge among white working-class voters, compared with previous G.O.P. presidential candidates, was due to his explicit appeal to white racial resentment and ethnonationalism.”
Data from the 2016 American National Election Studies survey, Abramowitz and McCoy wrote,
indicate that Donald Trump’s heavy emphasis on racial issues led to a further increase in the strength of this relationship (between racial attitudes and voting), especially among white voters without college degrees.
In terms of shared variance, the relationship between racial resentment and candidate feeling thermometer ratings was about 2.6 times stronger in 2016 than in 2004 among all white voters, but it was more than four times stronger among white working-class voters.
Abramowitz and McCoy used statistical measures “to compare the impact of racial and ethnic resentment with that of economic discontent” and concluded that “after party identification”:
Racial/ethnic resentment was by far the strongest predictor of relative ratings of Trump and Clinton — the higher the score on the racial/ethnic resentment scale, the more favorably white voters rated Trump relative to Clinton. The impact of the racial/ethnic resentment scale was much stronger than that of any of the economic variables included in the analysis, including opinions about free trade deals and economic mobility.
So what’s the bottom line?
Trump is turning the Republican Party into a dumping ground for Americans at their worst. He has nurtured racial hostility, blessed those who voice their disdain of minorities and immigrants and sought, in every way he could, to remake the U.S. government into an instrument of prejudice.
Matthew Tobin contributed research to this article.
The Times is committed to publishing a diversity of letters to the editor. We’d like to hear what you think about this or any of our articles. Here are some tips. And here’s our email: letters@nytimes.com.
Thomas B. Edsall has been a contributor to the Times Opinion section since 2011. His essays on strategic and demographic trends in American politics appear every Tuesday. He previously covered politics for The Washington Post.
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.png00Kevin MacDonaldhttps://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.pngKevin MacDonald2026-09-22 10:01:492026-09-22 10:01:49Thomas B. Edsall in The NYTimes: Trump Makes Republicans More Racist and Democrats Less So
The owner of the company, Duel, met soon after with Donald Trump Jr., calling it a “great chance to align on many things.”
The Kia Center in Orlando, Florida, hosted a kickboxing match between Paul Miller, who has a Nazi tattoo, and Israeli Ben Azoulay on Aug. 29, 2026. (James Gilbert/Getty Images)
Nazi salutes. A swastika flag. Fights in the stands. They were all part of the scene at a recent combat sports event in Orlando that pitted an Israeli Jew against an avowed racist with SS bolts tattooed on his chest — and ended with the latter mocking his defeated foe as “a short little f–king Jew prick.”
The condemnation that followed the Aug. 29 event was aimed in a number of directions: at Paul Miller, the fighter who performed the Hitler salute after his win; at the attendees who returned the salute and displayed the Nazi flag; and at the Kia Center, the city-owned arena best known as the home of the NBA’s Orlando Magic, which hosted the fight night.
Politicians were shocked by the display and wrote statements condemning the event — but the Nazi symbols were nothing new for Duel, the online cryptocurrency casino behind the promotion.
Founded last year and billing itself as “the first casino that gives a f–k,” Duel has used Nazi symbols and racist language in its gambling programming. And its owner, Ossi Ketola, a Finnish high-stakes poker player, is himself a self-described First Amendment absolutist with his own history of racially charged comments. He celebrated his free speech devotion just one week after the Orlando event, in a social media post featuring a photo of himself with Donald Trump Jr.
One of Duel’s blackjack dealers, Nelli Levonyan, has worn a Nazi outfit with a swastika armband on multiple occasions while dealing cards on the blackjack stream. In a skit from the blackjack table that circulated online, a man, dressed up as an Orthodox Jew and holding an Israeli flag, attacked Levonyan by throwing coins at her. Levonyan’s character then sprayed something at the Jewish man — “Gassing!” he yelled — and said, “Go away from me, you dirty kike.”
Earlier this month, Ketola joined a neo-fascist rally in Helsinki staged by the far-right party Sinimusta Liike, or the Blue-and-Black Movement. Ketola, who was dressed in a Spongebob costume, livestreamed the rally and posted the footage with the title “Saving white Finland.” Speaking about immigrants, he said that people “need to be educated about how the genes work, and how these people realistically cannot be integrated here.”
He then attended an anti-fascist rally held elsewhere in Helsinki simultaneously, prompting left-wing demonstrators to chase him and his video crew back to their car. Ketola could be heard off-camera yelling “Sieg heil” as they drove away.
“What f–king violent pussies. Imagine what f–ing leftists,” Ketola said after taking off the Spongebob costume. “You see? These right-wing people, white people, the most friendly people. I just walked there, we didn’t say anything, we didn’t do anything — we go to these leftists and they try to f–ing attack us. F–ing dumb stupid f–ing n–ers.”
The following night, Ketola attended the dinner with Trump and about a dozen others in Tallinn, Estonia, hosted by Studioworks, a company that develops software for online casino sites. Ketola posted a photo of himself and the U.S. president’s son on Instagram, and wrote that he discussed “Duel, the state of the world and current political climate with him and his staff.”
“The political situations in our respective countries have become increasingly similar, with a rising tide of violence and radical leftism in both America and Finland,” Ketola wrote. “As a firm 1st amendment absolutist and an individual with many values that coincide with Republicans and Donald Trump himself, this was a great chance to align on many things important to both.”
Neither the Trump Organization, Miller, Ketola nor Levonyan responded to requests for comment.
Nelli Levonyan, left, who has appeared multiple times in a full Nazi uniform on Duel.com’s blackjack live streams, sits alongside Paul “Gypsy Crusader” Miller, who often appears online dressed up as the supervillain the Joker. (Screenshot)
Duel was founded last summer and has featured some prominent personalities on its streams, including boxing great Mike Tyson — who told Levonyan, “You dumb b–h, you like Hitler” — and the “looksmaxxing” influencer Braden Peters, who is known as Clavicular.
The fight night that it organized and promoted in Orlando was its first foray into combat sports, and made for the company’s biggest splash yet. It also caught the attention of at least one watchdog and a local lawmaker.
“Right after the event there was a lot of criticism put on the venue, which didn’t have much responsibility in this, and not enough eyes on the people who actually made it happen,” Mark Pitcavage, senior fellow at the Anti-Defamation League’s Center on Extremism, told the Jewish Telegraphic Agency. (The city had said that, as an operator of public venues, it “cannot deny access because we disagree with the political ideology, opinion or perspective, regardless of the message.”)
State Rep. Anna Eskamani called for the Florida Athletic Commission to revoke Duel Arena’s license. The commission’s members were appointed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has not commented on the event. The governor’s office did not respond to multiple requests for comment from JTA.
DeSantis’ immediate predecessor and fellow Republican, U.S. Senator Rick Scott, posted that the event was “utterly disturbing” and that “Antisemitism has NO PLACE in Florida.”
Pitcavage said that combat sports are “a draw for far-right extremists and white supremacists” who often view themselves as “white warriors.” He noted, however, that they make up a small portion of the participants and fans.
“It’s not at all surprising that some of them will get into various types of what they would consider manly, or warrior-like athletics,” he said.
Duel’s involvement in the Orlando event put the intersection of online gambling sites and far-right ideologies on his radar. “It’s something we’re starting to look into,” Pitcavage said. He noted that Duel is registered and licensed offshore on the autonomous island of Anjouan, making it more difficult to investigate.
Eskamani, who is running for mayor of Orlando, told JTA that Duel should not be allowed to operate in Florida, citing reasons that she says would beat the city’s First Amendment defense.
“These offshore cryptocurrency — I mean, there are so many red flags in how this entity is operating that from a purely financial security position for a public venue, I would not want to accept a reservation,” Eskamani said.
Duel set and promoted the matchups on the fight card, which included the kickboxing match between Miller, who goes by the moniker “Gypsy Crusader,” and his fellow influencer Ben “King” Azoulay.
Miller, who has made numerous appearances on Duel’s casino games streams, has been known to use racial slurs and denigrate minority groups in his online content. He was convicted in 2021 of felony weapons charges, and sentenced to 41 months in federal prison. He had posted about initiating a race-based civil war.
During a livestreamed conversation with Adin Ross, a Jewish streamer who has interviewed or maintained friendly relationships with controversial figures including Nick Fuentes and Andrew Tate, Miller said there are no exceptions in his feelings toward Jews.
“I respect you for having an opinion that is different from the Jews,” Miller told Ross. “But that doesn’t mean that I would not laugh if I see you in a gas chamber.”
During a Duel.com blackjack table live stream, Levonyan, left, wears a full Nazi uniform and is confronted by a man dressed as a stereotypical Orthodox Jew who is holding an Israeli flag. (Screenshot)
“He’s not a tough guy, he’s not an alpha male. He’s a short little f–ing Jew prick,” Miller declared about his opponent Azoulay in his post-fight interview, eliciting some cheers from the crowd.
U.S. Rep. Randy Fine, the Jewish Republican firebrand whose district includes Palm Coast and Daytona Beach, posted a video of the Nazi flag being unfurled and wrote, “This is not a joke and it is not edgy. The guy who did this is old enough to know exactly what that symbol means and to know that it’s not funny. We will make an example out of him.”
Asked what he meant by making an example of the attendee, Fine told JTA, “We put the video out so he would be recognized and be held publicly accountable. Most folks are unwilling to associate with Nazis.”
Cheering Miller on ringside was Jake Shields, a former mixed martial artist-turned far-right influencer who has espoused conspiracy theories about Jews and Israel. Shields wore a shirt reading “FCK ISRL.” Myron Gaines, a prominent streamer who has spread similar conspiracy theories and performed Nazi salutes, was in the stands, and told Miller before the fight, “You fight for the goyim,” according to clips shared on social media.
Pitcavage said he has been tracking a trend of the far-right getting involved in combat sports since the late 1990s, as mixed martial arts and UFC became a more mainstream phenomenon and amateur gyms became widespread and increasingly accessible.
The ADL has flagged that in recent years “active clubs,” or “localized white supremacist crews” that gather for fight training, have become more common. The ADL writes that these groups “see themselves as fighters training for an ongoing war against a system that they claim is deliberately plotting against the white race.”
As news outlets covered backlash to the Orlando fight night, Duel issued its own statement saying it was horrified “to learn that a group of viewers were displaying symbols of hate at our event.” The company criticized the city’s “shocking remarks that the ‘First Amendment’ applies and that ‘free speech’ is permitted at their arena,” and pledged to “work with local activist groups to push back on this and ensure that this kind of hate does not fester ever again.”
The statement appeared to be an example of Duel trolling with deadpan, buttoned-up language. Before the fight, Ketola had similarly released a promotional video that appeared to be condemning Miller’s views. “Paul Miller is a Nazi. Being a Nazi is bad,” Ketola narrated, over footage of him shaking his head. “We cannot support this. The only reason we are allowing him to fight is to ensure the good guys get to add another victory to their record.”
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.png00Kevin MacDonaldhttps://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.pngKevin MacDonald2026-09-22 07:40:342026-09-22 07:52:03Nazi imagery nothing new for crypto casino behind Orlando fight with swastika flags and Hitler salutes
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.png00Kevin MacDonaldhttps://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.pngKevin MacDonald2026-09-21 06:29:312026-09-21 06:29:31Tyler Oliveira Exposed a Jewish Fraud Ring Stealing From Poor Kids…
Israeli filmmakers Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor accept the Special Jury Prize for their documentary “NAZA” at the Venice Film Festival in Venice, Italy, on Saturday.Credit: Scott A Garfitt/AP
The creators of ‘NAZA’ are trying to force Israelis to confront what they already know: that Israel’s conduct of the war in Gaza has left a black stain.
For three years, since the war broke out, Yuval Abraham, a director and documentary filmmaker, has been publishing investigations on the Local Call and +972 news sites regarding how the Israel Defense Forces chooses targets in Gaza. The target bank is built using extensive AI systems that generate tens of thousands of targets that are almost never subject to human review. This leads to widespread harm to civilians, defined as “collateral damage.”
Abraham isn’t the only one. Haaretz has also published important investigations on this subject. Were Israelis shocked? Was there an outcry? Did the military authorities announce they would re-examine their methods? No. The Israeli consensus largely maintains that Palestinians started the war on October 7 and therefore deserve it; that there are no innocents in Gaza, and therefore no such thing as collateral damage; and that in war, innocents die, and that’s just how it is.
But when Abraham and director Rachel Szor dared to show their film “NAZA” at the Venice Film Festival, there was an outcry from all sides. The film presents first-person testimonies from soldiers and officers involved in this system who describe how it works. Israelis have no problem saying “there are no innocents in Gaza,” but when a film is screened in Venice revealing that the IDF fights as if there are no innocents in Gaza, they somehow consider this supporting the enemy.
The shock that Szor and Abraham dare “slander Israel Defense Forces soldiers,” or “air dirty laundry in public,” or “provide ammunition for antisemitism” – or a host of other objections voiced with varying degrees of aggression – reflects an astonishingly inconsistent local consciousness. They tried to air the dirty laundry at home, but met with indifference. And anyone who thought the world needed Szor and Abraham to know that the rampant killing in Gaza is unnecessary and immoral is also deluding themselves. Israel’s problem is not public relations, but reality.
By screening their film at the Venice Film Festival, Abraham and Szor are trying to force Israelis to confront what they already know: that there’s a black stain on the way Israel is conducting war in Gaza, to put it mildly.
This is a discussion that must take place in Israel. However, most Israeli citizens prefer not to have it, and to entrench themselves in one way or another behind the idea that victimhood grants Israel moral immunity.
The filmmakers are not a rubber stamp or a pro-Israel propaganda committee. They are loyal to their conscience and their chosen profession, and bravely go against the murky current of complicity and self-censorship. Instead of threatening their lives and slandering them, the Israeli public should watch the film and finally start discussing what we have done in Gaza.
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.png00Kevin MacDonaldhttps://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.pngKevin MacDonald2026-09-20 12:00:102026-09-20 12:00:10Haaretz editorial: Israelis Must Finally Confront What Israel Has Done in Gaza
Yesterday—while I was doing a new installation and attending youth soccer—MoA took note of a very recent address by Raisin’ Caine. What he had to say was notable for its craziness. At a time when the US ruling class should be rethinking exactly what America’s role in the world should be, Raisin’ had this to say:
“We must continue to ensure that the United States of America can strike anywhere on the globe at the time and place of our choosing, and sustain that force.“
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine
Air Space Cyber Conference, National Harbor, Md., Sep. 16 2026 Transcript, Video
The days when the Anglo-Zionist States of America could “strike anywhere on the globe at the time and place of our choosing, and sustain that force“ are over, and most unlikely to return. But our rulers can’t let go. As Danny Davis and Doug Macgregor are fond of saying, they’re still living in the 1990s or so—and that’s dangerous. It always was dangerous, for the rest of the world but also for America. We never could afford that, even with the petro-dollar system in place to absorb the inflation that America exported to support its vast NatSec sector. And yet our rulers appear determined to maintain our colonization of the world in the face of all developments and evidence that make it clear that that project is simply unsustainable. The Anglo-Zionist war on Russia, Iran, and now—it looks like it—Yemen, all to reverse the rise of China and maintain the Anglo-Zionist Empire—all this must continue. Even with the world coming apart at the seams. If there was ever proof that Trump is only fronting for the real power, this has to be it, this has to be the moment. Consider where we are.
Philip Pilkington is on top of this. Here’s the key phrase: It will take years to get back to normal. Me: If ever:
Philip Pilkington @philippilk
4h
JP Morgan are saying this month pipelines and refineries start shutting down. Absolute energy apocalypse. It will take years to get back to normal.
Bull Theory @BullTheoryio
BREAKING: World oil inventories are projected to hit their operational floor of 6.8 billion barrels this month if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut, per JPMorgan.
Below this level, pipelines can’t maintain pressure and refineries start failing, regardless of what price oil is trading at.
This would mark the first time in recorded history the world has had to worry about physical oil availability, not just price.
Does this tell you how determined the Anglo-Zionist ruling class is to maintain global control, no matter what the cost to the rest of us? It does. And here is how PP describes the big screwup:
The energy crisis was delayed. Now it’s arriving all at once.
Philip Pilkington thinks the biggest mistake of the Iran war may not have been failing to prevent the energy shock. But pretending the shock wasn’t happening.
With a huge chunk of global oil supply disrupted, Pilkington argues prices should have been allowed to rise gradually, forcing consumers, businesses and logistics networks to adjust before physical shortages appeared.
Instead, he says, Washington spent weeks suppressing the market and buying time. The result?
“𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘮𝘢𝘥𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘢 𝘤𝘭𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘦𝘥𝘨𝘦.”
Now France is already reporting fuel shortages, Saudi oil flows to Europe are being squeezed, and Philip sees diesel, gasoline and jet fuel shortages beginning to move through the wider economy.
And diesel is where the problem stops being about what you pay at the pump. Trucks, ships and freight trains run on it. Once fuel stops reaching vehicles, goods stop reaching shelves.
Europe gets 10% of its diesel from the US, and now the US is talking about a halt to diesel exports. Uh oh!
Pilkington expects the result to look less like an ordinary recession and more like the supply-chain chaos of the pandemic, except with one crucial difference:
“𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘱𝘩𝘺𝘴𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘴𝘩𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘨𝘦.”
You could remove lockdown regulations overnight. You cannot regulate another barrel of oil into existence.
With all this hitting the fan—yesterday my price for gas hit $5/gallon after several days of increases—Trump is preparing for war on Yemen. Midterms be damned, full speed ahead! This is confirmation of what PP says, above, about the foolhardy attempts to pretend that there was no crisis coming. There always was and now, after months of US military resources being degraded and depleted, the Anglo-Zionist rulers are desperate to break Iran:
The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter
14h
BREAKING: Trump has abruptly cut short his Camp David weekend and will return to the White House tonight instead of tomorrow, citing the potential for significant escalation in the region, per the White House press pool.
14h
BREAKING: Netanyahu has cut short his trip to the US and cancelled the planned Texas stop, flying to New York and returning to Israel the same day, shortly after Trump cut short his own weekend at Camp David …
Trump said on Thursday he is approaching “a major turning point in the war with Iran” and asked “Do I want to go in and annihilate them or do I not?”
13h
BREAKING: Iran has issued “Code 100,” its highest alert level, for all armed forces in the past hour, covering the IRGC, the Army and security forces, per initial reports.
13h
BREAKING: Trump has arrived back at the White House from Camp David, with Hegseth also flying back to Washington tonight. Trump is wearing the same white hat he wore on February 28, the day the Iran war began.
12h
BREAKING: The US is preparing a large-scale military operation against Yemen’s Houthis in retaliation for their strikes on Saudi Arabia, with the Camp David meeting held to review Yemen strike options, shortly before Trump left for the White House, per CNN.
45m
BREAKING: Iran’s IRGC says the US has decided to resume military action against Iran at a joint meeting in a European country, with a “green light” given from regional countries, and warns that if the US moves, “all of its bases and interests in the region will become targets of continuous attacks, without any limitations or considerations.”
38s
BREAKING: Iran’s Army, with a total of 420,000 troops, says the majority of its ground force units are now deployed along the country’s borders, with a heavy concentration on the Makran coast on the Gulf of Oman, including special forces, rapid-response, mechanized and artillery units, per Fars.
Iran anticipates US ground forces may attempt to invade through the southern coastal cities, coming after Trump said Thursday he is approaching “a major turning point in the war with Iran” and has “a big decision coming up.”
Note that there is a bit of ambiguity here. Any turning point in the war on Iran will have major consequences for the world. Iranian reports indicate that Iran expects major attacks on Iran, possibly including attempts to land US forces on Iranian territory. Iran has been preparing for this for literally decades and those preps have probably reached a fever pitch. I seriously doubt that the US has the resources to make this work and to avoid a major disaster—partly because I believe Iran has still been pulling some of its punches to this point.
On the other hand, CNN and other sources claim that a major strike on Yemen is in preparation. The two—huge escalation on Iran and major strike on Yemen—are not mutually exclusive, but one wonders whether the US has the resources to follow through. By resources I mean stand off munitions and defensive missiles to protect naval assets. And there is no reason to suppose that Russian and Chinese support for Iran (and thus for Yemen) has done anything except increase and intensify.
But here’s what I think the thing is. Suppose that—again all odds—this works, in the sense that any operation of this sort can be said to “work,” will this return the world to “normal”. That’s the real bottom line, and I’m convinced the answer is, No. Again, this is a measure of Anglo-Zionist desperation.
Here is some Iranian perspective:
Patarames @Pataramesh
5h
Iran never really escalated against 
Rezai’s threat should be taken seriously
Last year the U.S. Navy witnessed fist hand what a Anti-Ship Ballistic-Missile attack means
And some weeks ago again
Even without own OTH [Over The Horizon] target tracking:
 Russians would have a chance for payback
Clash Report @clashreport
Iran’s Security Council Secretary Rezaei:
If war begins again, U.S. ships — unless they leave the Indian Ocean — will be attacked wherever they are inside the Indian Ocean. We have developed these capabilities.
We increased the speed of our hypersonic missiles from Mach 6 to Mach 10.
We have also developed our electronic warfare systems, improved our air defenses, and we have other measures that we will use at the appropriate time.
Therefore, we are fully prepared. If America starts the war, we will confront America with greater force and with more numerous and more painful strikes.
By the way, my understanding is that Xi Jinping is still due in DC on Thursday, the 24th. Does Trump plan some brief attack before the visit? If so, I doubt Iran and Yemen will respond briefly. Will Xi cancel in view of the reported attack plans? Lots of questions.
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.png00Kevin MacDonaldhttps://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.pngKevin MacDonald2026-09-20 09:21:062026-09-20 09:21:06Mark Wauck: Trump Plans More War As World Comes Apart
Ultimately, Israel’s fury at “NAZA” — which has its U.S. premiere at the New York Film Festival on Sept. 26 — is almost certainly not about journalistic ethics. Part of the uproar is simply Netanyahu and his allies demagoguing ahead of next month’s parliamentary election, trying to cast the Israeli left as traitorous enemies of the military. (One Haaretz writer called the controversy a gift to Israel’s “fascist-nationalist bloc.”) But there’s also a broader sense of a taboo being smashed, of Israel being confronted with something it desperately doesn’t want to see.
Israel is treating the new documentary “NAZA,” by the Israeli filmmakers Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor, less like bad publicity than a national security crisis.
Eyal Zamir, chief of staff of the Israel Defense Forces, pledged to use “every tool at our disposal” against the documentary, which features anonymous interviews with 24 intelligence officers and soldiers, most involved in remote strikes in Gaza. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has called for legislation that would let the state strip Abraham and Szor of their citizenship. Israel’s culture minister has asked the Interior Ministry to investigate them for treason. Activists and staff members from the far-right party of Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir protested outside Szor’s parents’ house, where a speaker called for Abraham and Szor to be executed and their families’ homes demolished, as often happens to the homes of Palestinians.
The official calls for persecution of Abraham and Szor, who previously made the Oscar-winning documentary “No Other Land” with two Palestinian filmmakers, seem strategically unwise, since they’re spurring heightened interest in “NAZA.” A press screening I went to on Wednesday, at New York’s 268-seat Walter Reade Theater, was at capacity, and I was told to arrive a half-hour early to get a seat. This is, in my experience, very unusual for documentaries of any sort, even those that, like “NAZA,” win the Special Jury Prize at the Venice Film Festival.
After seeing it, I can understand why Israel finds it so threatening. Its subjects described factory-scale targeting, enabled by artificial intelligence, in which little effort was made to avoid enormous numbers of civilian casualties. “The goal was quantity, not quality,” said one of the speakers. According to the sources in the film, the military chose to target members of Hamas, some low-level, at home at night rather than when they were out during the day because it was easier, even though it meant killing their families and neighbors. One man told of hacking into the phone of a 12-year-old girl to learn when her father arrived home, and then ordering a bombing in which she was killed.
“NAZA” is Hebrew military shorthand for nezek agavi, or collateral damage. One of the speakers described a computer interface showing how many people would be killed if a particular site were bombed. Typically, said one, “20 NAZA” was a benchmark — meaning it was OK to kill 20 civilians for one Hamas target. (That figure was previously reported by The New York Times.) An interviewee said that for one bombing, a NAZA figure of 500 was approved, which the I.D.F. has denied.
Part of what makes “NAZA” so devastating is the way it shows that mere indifference to civilian deaths can shade into deliberate mass killing. To Israel’s defenders, after all, the fact that the military puts limits on acceptable collateral damage shows that it’s not trying to kill as many people as possible and thus can’t be genocidal. The Israeli journalist Ariel Oseran argued, for example, that the very word NAZA is exculpatory, writing, “If Israel’s specific objective were to destroy the Palestinian population, Palestinian deaths would not be categorized as collateral damage; they would be the intended goal.”
But “NAZA” suggests that the system Israel created had mass death built into it. In the frantic days after the Oct. 7 attacks by Hamas, Israel was full of calls to annihilate Gaza, and the murderous rhetoric has persisted. After 50,000 Gazans had already been killed, the former head of Israeli military intelligence said, in leaked audio, “For every one person on Oct. 7, 50 Palestinians must die. It doesn’t matter now if they are children.” In this atmosphere of rage, grief and total self-justification, the Israeli military made a series of choices that ensured Gaza would become a killing field, whatever the specific motives of everyone involved. “When people talk about ‘flattening Gaza,’ what do you mean if not executing people?” asked one of the subjects in “NAZA.”
At one point in the film, as an interviewee explained the rules of engagement, Abraham said, “But if you can kill 20 people per junior member, and there are tens of thousands of members …” To which the man responded, “You end up with all of Gaza, yes.”
Of course, we don’t know who these sources are. They were filmed on Tel Aviv rooftops at night, their faces shadowed, their profiles and voices digitally altered. Journalistically, the use of anonymous sources for explosive allegations isn’t unusual, but it makes some of the documentary’s claims impossible to check. The I.D.F. has emphasized the whistle-blowers’ anonymity in disparaging the film. At the same time, it’s opened a leak investigation to find out whether classified material was used in the production, a strange thing to do if the revelations are false.
“Israel has been in a state of denial now for close to three years,” said the Israeli American historian Omer Bartov, author of the recent book “Israel: What Went Wrong.” Until “NAZA,” he said, there had been little debate in the country about the leveling of Gaza. Now, he said, people are “actually speaking about the issue of what happened in Gaza rather than refusing to speak about it.”
But it’s a conversation many cannot face. “In Israel you may be on the left, but your children go to serve in the army, and often you are proud of them being soldiers,” said Bartov. “And then you’re told they maybe were involved in a criminal war. That’s very difficult for people to accept, and they will find all kinds of ways to resist it.”
It’s hard to tell whether Israelis are enraged by “NAZA” because they think it’s full of lies, or because they know or fear it’s true.
https://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.png00Kevin MacDonaldhttps://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/TOO-Full-Logo-660x156-1.pngKevin MacDonald2026-09-19 13:03:252026-09-19 13:03:25Michelle Goldberg: Why Israel Fears This Searing New Documentary
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